Saturday 13 March 2021

HOW TO RESHAPE OUR FUTURE

 It is really difficult to perceive the pace of technological changes in our routine , day to day life. Mostly we fell that there is no change in our life while the accelaration is mind boggling ...

One of biggest misperception is that you think that you need to work hard and neglect your social life , like taking care of your family , your physical and mental body to earn a living but abundant money.


Is the humanity working harder than previous centuries? Or do we have more leaisure time than before ? These are arguable questions. Until we reached todays' legal montly 160  working hours our ancestors spent  longer hours in factories. But do we take into consideration the -new normal of one or two hour commuting ? In big cities  this is real a big problem.


With the actual pandemic , working from home became our new normal adding us many hours to our life . Offering us also the choice to select when we want to work or when we are more energized. For some of us are mornings and for other after. midnights...


The new "Zoom" videoconferance technology made us to understand that travelling is not really such necessary for few hours of business meeting abroad or inland


We are even experiencing company audits from a long distance. This an amazing challange. We must take into consideration that we are actually on the verge of this technological development. Not yet the requisite technology and software is perfect. But getting better and better day by day. Even the internet call leader Skype fell behind Zoom/Team new softwares.


Youtube and Google opened us us a new world for learning what we need. You only need to learn on how to ask them ? And what to ask? You even fix your computer failure with a quick investigation on the media? 


No need to have a good cookbook to prepare an excellent dish. Or to plant flowers into pots , play a musical instrument , computer programming ,you just name it...


In the past it was only libraries offering you information. Persons having access were privileged . Being a librarian was a profession. Now Google  is  listing and sorting a huge variety of choice on what you are looking for. 


In an article Michael Simmons wrote that we need to compete these new technologies and AI softwares in order to survive and have a prosperous life. If we fall behind then our life will be wasted. 


Maybe Deep Blue beated Kasparow in chess tournament but we must take into consideration that Kasparow mental ability is not limited with chess. He can drive a car, cook marvellous dishes, speak many languages, play tennis or swim , read books, talk ... The human capacity is contiously outsmarting the new technology and will continue forever. 


Now the crucial question is what to learn ?


Avram Aji

14.03.2021






Friday 12 March 2021

WHY THEY NEED NUCLEAR WEAPON?

 WHY IRAN AND NORTH KOREA IS SO AMBITIOUS IN HAVING NUCLEAR POWER?

Below you have the countries having nuclear power :

These figures are taken from FAS Federation Of American Scientists.We know the political dogfight between Russia and USA. Hence we mustn't be surprised on the equality to the numbers. Also another similarities between Pakistan and India inside centenaries old feud. France is the second biggest nuclear power producer in the world with 63130 MW after USA having 99000 MW. Having the technology and material which faciliate the production of nuclear weapons. 

Archrival UK surely can not fall apart. China was always affraid of the two superpowers of the world.Now that he became as powerful as them he understood that he can not stay indifferent to the world politics and international trade. In such state,you need to spend effort in world stability even to the farthermost activities. The world has experienced this with 9/11 attack.

Israel is surrounded with enormous amount of religious hatred environment although nowadays its borders reduced to Syria and Gazza.

North Korean ambition has similarities with Iran. Anxiety and show off.

Can we say that that nuclear weapons made the world more stable and prevented 3rd and 4th world wars? Surely wars in whole world is decreasing.

When Chernobil exploded in 1986 the radiation waves travelled all around the world and affected all crops. Due to the prevalent system of news distribution channels we came to know about more intensively abour nuclear danger , obviously after WW2...

Today we know that there has been previous explosions -but not that much maybe - and few later on. 


The above graph is from the book "Enlightenment" of Steven Pinker. You may notice that wars and losses are diminishing surely...But not at the pace that we expect.

Large conglomerations  is making the world much more stable. It is amazing to understand how such a big organizations like USA , EU , China and even Russia (although smaller in size when compared USSR days) are now managing 1/2nd of the world population but handling almost %90 world economic activity. 

Countries with high instability , like Iran, Afganistan , Yemen and few in Africa whom were not embedded into such big conglomerations are staggering. They are also threatening the world stability.

Avram Aji

13.03.2021