Thursday 11 November 2021

UPDATE

This morning a got a warning about the new update of my i-pad operation system. Within few minutes my tablet has started work with new features ... I did not have to pay something for it. This is done continuously by the producing company years after years.

This happened just I was reading a book about " THE BIG NINE "of Amy Webb... It started to tell the story about works on artificial intelligence and machine learning during the last centuries It is exciting to learn about how the Deep Blue was developed and beaten Gary Kasparov on chess.


The most exciting part of the story is obviously that you can upload the invented , written  or discovered this  chess program to thousands or millions of computers instantly .On the contrary imagine that you educated a talented student to play violin. He or she can become a virtuoso after 10-15 years. You are unable to transfer this ingenuity or skill to anybody.. You may only learn how to teach better a talented student but nothing else. You may need "maybe" a little shorter period for a new student become virtuoso but even this has limits. 

Today a tiny microcontroller board with internet access costs almost nothing (Arduino Uno , Raspberry Pi ) .It is not a dream that all the machines that we are using will start to be updated continuously and they will work more efficiently and maybe better. 

 

  

                                                                                                                           

Wednesday 22 September 2021

LIBRARIES

In history we read about the destruction of Alexandria's famous library because of a fire.  We know many philosophers lived for a while there during ancient time. Strorage of a knowledge was and still is a challenge for a humanity.Today with the new electronic technology it became cheaper and cheaper. Not only knowledge , but we are now able to collect and store huge amount of data as well. Processing big data also became an important profession.

We read from the social media that a supermarket data processor discovered one of her client pregnancy even before she knew it ! Maybe it is just an urban legend.

Until internet era libraries was the only source of knowledge. Governments spent a lot of money for the contsruction and maintining them properly. University students were spending most of their time for research and surveys at libraries.

After the discovery of the internet knowledge started to spread around the world easily and be accessible to anyone even almost for free..The impact will be great to educational inequality. Now you just ask questions to the web browser you are accustomed to and you get thousands of answers , videos and articles in second.

Now we have to teach students to ask smart question to find out proper answers.

Avram Aji

01.04.2022


Friday 14 May 2021

"ABUNDANCE" BY PETER DIAMANDIS

Is our future beter then before ? This is what Peter Diamandis wrote in his book "Abundance". Yes, and I totally agree with him . All the news we are getting from social medias TV's radios , newspapers are based on bad news. Good news are not attractive. This is why we are automatically programmed to think about that we are at worse era of human history.

But surely it is not. With many figures given only in the last century the world population surged by four times , electrical  power entered into every corner of our life giving us the possibility to cook, drive, illuminate , heat , communicate et cetera...

Travelling became 80 times faster from Jules Verne's 19th century period. Communicating reached to light speed with fiber cables against centuries ago surface mailing which was taking sometimes months to reach.All travelling means are less polluting the world than previous decades. In Germany in some cities already cars working with diesel are prohibited to run. Electrical and even hybrid cars proved to be less polluters than their ancestors. Using hydrogen as a fuel in cars is also investiagted intensively. Using solar pannels to electrolize water to obtain pure hyrogen may reduce the costs of fuels. Needless to say emitting zero atmospheric polluting waste.

Existing laws are obliging farmers, processors, traders and packers to supply into the market more nutritious food with less and less chemical contamination while in the past we were not even aware of its perniciousness.

Improvment in medicine and drug industry is spectacular. Many diseases were eradicted , many epidemics confined in narrow areas. The mechanism of many diseases where deciphered and preventive counter combat invented in a short time. The Spanish Flu killed 50 millions in 1918 while the world population was only 2B while Covid 19 pandemic killed only the one fifth while the world polulation grew by 4 times.The vaccine of Covid 19 was ready within a year only!

Our beleif in science and technology is getting stronger and stronger. 

Avram Aji

15.04.2021



Saturday 13 March 2021

HOW TO RESHAPE OUR FUTURE

 It is really difficult to perceive the pace of technological changes in our routine , day to day life. Mostly we fell that there is no change in our life while the accelaration is mind boggling ...

One of biggest misperception is that you think that you need to work hard and neglect your social life , like taking care of your family , your physical and mental body to earn a living but abundant money.


Is the humanity working harder than previous centuries? Or do we have more leaisure time than before ? These are arguable questions. Until we reached todays' legal montly 160  working hours our ancestors spent  longer hours in factories. But do we take into consideration the -new normal of one or two hour commuting ? In big cities  this is real a big problem.


With the actual pandemic , working from home became our new normal adding us many hours to our life . Offering us also the choice to select when we want to work or when we are more energized. For some of us are mornings and for other after. midnights...


The new "Zoom" videoconferance technology made us to understand that travelling is not really such necessary for few hours of business meeting abroad or inland


We are even experiencing company audits from a long distance. This an amazing challange. We must take into consideration that we are actually on the verge of this technological development. Not yet the requisite technology and software is perfect. But getting better and better day by day. Even the internet call leader Skype fell behind Zoom/Team new softwares.


Youtube and Google opened us us a new world for learning what we need. You only need to learn on how to ask them ? And what to ask? You even fix your computer failure with a quick investigation on the media? 


No need to have a good cookbook to prepare an excellent dish. Or to plant flowers into pots , play a musical instrument , computer programming ,you just name it...


In the past it was only libraries offering you information. Persons having access were privileged . Being a librarian was a profession. Now Google  is  listing and sorting a huge variety of choice on what you are looking for. 


In an article Michael Simmons wrote that we need to compete these new technologies and AI softwares in order to survive and have a prosperous life. If we fall behind then our life will be wasted. 


Maybe Deep Blue beated Kasparow in chess tournament but we must take into consideration that Kasparow mental ability is not limited with chess. He can drive a car, cook marvellous dishes, speak many languages, play tennis or swim , read books, talk ... The human capacity is contiously outsmarting the new technology and will continue forever. 


Now the crucial question is what to learn ?


Avram Aji

14.03.2021






Friday 12 March 2021

WHY THEY NEED NUCLEAR WEAPON?

 WHY IRAN AND NORTH KOREA IS SO AMBITIOUS IN HAVING NUCLEAR POWER?

Below you have the countries having nuclear power :

These figures are taken from FAS Federation Of American Scientists.We know the political dogfight between Russia and USA. Hence we mustn't be surprised on the equality to the numbers. Also another similarities between Pakistan and India inside centenaries old feud. France is the second biggest nuclear power producer in the world with 63130 MW after USA having 99000 MW. Having the technology and material which faciliate the production of nuclear weapons. 

Archrival UK surely can not fall apart. China was always affraid of the two superpowers of the world.Now that he became as powerful as them he understood that he can not stay indifferent to the world politics and international trade. In such state,you need to spend effort in world stability even to the farthermost activities. The world has experienced this with 9/11 attack.

Israel is surrounded with enormous amount of religious hatred environment although nowadays its borders reduced to Syria and Gazza.

North Korean ambition has similarities with Iran. Anxiety and show off.

Can we say that that nuclear weapons made the world more stable and prevented 3rd and 4th world wars? Surely wars in whole world is decreasing.

When Chernobil exploded in 1986 the radiation waves travelled all around the world and affected all crops. Due to the prevalent system of news distribution channels we came to know about more intensively abour nuclear danger , obviously after WW2...

Today we know that there has been previous explosions -but not that much maybe - and few later on. 


The above graph is from the book "Enlightenment" of Steven Pinker. You may notice that wars and losses are diminishing surely...But not at the pace that we expect.

Large conglomerations  is making the world much more stable. It is amazing to understand how such a big organizations like USA , EU , China and even Russia (although smaller in size when compared USSR days) are now managing 1/2nd of the world population but handling almost %90 world economic activity. 

Countries with high instability , like Iran, Afganistan , Yemen and few in Africa whom were not embedded into such big conglomerations are staggering. They are also threatening the world stability.

Avram Aji

13.03.2021